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EFL Championship League 2025-2026 Projections

Last Updated: 2026-04-22 18:51:23
Data can lag by a few days.
PosTeamPtsMPWDLPts/MPGFGAGDSimulation Mean PtsP_Top2P_PlayoffP_PO_FinalP_PO_PromotionP_Promotion (Overall)P_Relegation
1Coventry City8643251172.085434290.5100.00.00.00.0100.00.0
2Ipswich Town7642211381.873442981.156.044.028.417.273.20.0
3Millwall76432210111.858471180.020.879.138.117.137.90.0
4Southampton75432112101.775512479.320.279.846.625.445.60.0
5Middlesbrough73432013101.764442077.13.096.349.825.628.60.0
6Hull City6943209141.66561473.30.065.323.59.09.00.0
7Wrexham67431813121.66560570.60.017.76.52.52.50.0
8Derby County6643199151.56253970.20.017.47.03.13.10.0
9Norwich City6143187181.45952764.60.00.40.10.00.00.0
10Bristol City58431610171.45455-162.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
11QPR58431610171.45865-762.20.00.00.00.00.00.0
12Sheffield United5743176201.36159261.10.00.00.00.00.00.0
13Birmingham City57431512161.35253-160.90.00.00.00.00.00.0
14Watford57431415141.35253-160.80.00.00.00.00.00.0
15Preston North End57431415141.35055-560.50.00.00.00.00.00.0
16Swansea City5743169181.35156-561.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
17Stoke City55431510181.34948159.80.00.00.00.00.00.0
18Portsmouth51431312181.24457-1355.10.00.00.00.00.00.5
19Charlton Athletic50431214171.24052-1254.30.00.00.00.00.01.5
20West Brom49431213181.14456-1253.50.00.00.00.00.03.5
21Blackburn Rovers49441213191.13954-1551.40.00.00.00.00.018.4
22Oxford United44431014191.04155-1448.30.00.00.00.00.079.2
23Leicester City41431114180.95465-1145.20.00.00.00.00.096.8
24Sheffield Weds-34311230-0.12683-571.10.00.00.00.00.0100.0

High Impact Matchups

#1 Millwall vs Oxford United 05/02/2026 56.2 pp impact
Team Promotion Overall (W/D/L) Relg (W/D/L)
Millwall Win 47% / Draw 33% / Loss 27% Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0%
Oxford United Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0% Win 54% / Draw 83% / Loss 89%
#2 Oxford United vs Sheffield Weds 04/25/2026 35.8 pp impact
Team Promotion Overall (W/D/L) Relg (W/D/L)
Oxford United Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0% Win 61% / Draw 91% / Loss 96%
Sheffield Weds Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0% Win 100% / Draw 100% / Loss 100%
#3 Blackburn Rovers vs Leicester City 05/02/2026 33.8 pp impact
Team Promotion Overall (W/D/L) Relg (W/D/L)
Blackburn Rovers Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0% Win 2% / Draw 17% / Loss 30%
Leicester City Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0% Win 93% / Draw 100% / Loss 100%
#4 West Brom vs Ipswich Town 04/25/2026 33.6 pp impact
Team Promotion Overall (W/D/L) Relg (W/D/L)
West Brom Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0% Win 1% / Draw 3% / Loss 10%
Ipswich Town Win 87% / Draw 69% / Loss 62% Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0%
#5 Sheffield United vs Blackburn Rovers 04/22/2026 29.6 pp impact
Team Promotion Overall (W/D/L) Relg (W/D/L)
Sheffield United Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0% Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0%
Blackburn Rovers Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0% Win 2% / Draw 21% / Loss 32%
#6 Leicester City vs Millwall 04/25/2026 29.0 pp impact
Team Promotion Overall (W/D/L) Relg (W/D/L)
Leicester City Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0% Win 94% / Draw 100% / Loss 100%
Millwall Win 54% / Draw 34% / Loss 31% Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0%
#7 Charlton Athletic vs Ipswich Town 04/22/2026 28.6 pp impact
Team Promotion Overall (W/D/L) Relg (W/D/L)
Charlton Athletic Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0% Win 0% / Draw 2% / Loss 5%
Ipswich Town Win 88% / Draw 70% / Loss 64% Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0%
#8 Ipswich Town vs QPR 05/02/2026 24.2 pp impact
Team Promotion Overall (W/D/L) Relg (W/D/L)
Ipswich Town Win 81% / Draw 65% / Loss 57% Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0%
QPR Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0% Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0%
#9 Preston North End vs Southampton 05/02/2026 23.0 pp impact
Team Promotion Overall (W/D/L) Relg (W/D/L)
Preston North End Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0% Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0%
Southampton Win 59% / Draw 43% / Loss 36% Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0%
#10 Leicester City vs Hull City 04/22/2026 15.8 pp impact
Team Promotion Overall (W/D/L) Relg (W/D/L)
Leicester City Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0% Win 89% / Draw 100% / Loss 100%
Hull City Win 12% / Draw 8% / Loss 7% Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0%
#11 Wrexham vs Middlesbrough 05/02/2026 13.2 pp impact
Team Promotion Overall (W/D/L) Relg (W/D/L)
Wrexham Win 4% / Draw 1% / Loss 1% Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0%
Middlesbrough Win 35% / Draw 25% / Loss 27% Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0%
#12 Charlton Athletic vs Hull City 04/25/2026 10.8 pp impact
Team Promotion Overall (W/D/L) Relg (W/D/L)
Charlton Athletic Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0% Win 0% / Draw 2% / Loss 4%
Hull City Win 12% / Draw 9% / Loss 5% Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0%
#13 Hull City vs Norwich City 05/02/2026 7.2 pp impact
Team Promotion Overall (W/D/L) Relg (W/D/L)
Hull City Win 13% / Draw 8% / Loss 6% Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0%
Norwich City Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0% Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0%
#14 Middlesbrough vs Watford 04/25/2026 7.0 pp impact
Team Promotion Overall (W/D/L) Relg (W/D/L)
Middlesbrough Win 34% / Draw 29% / Loss 27% Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0%
Watford Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0% Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0%
#15 Sheffield Weds vs West Brom 05/02/2026 7.0 pp impact
Team Promotion Overall (W/D/L) Relg (W/D/L)
Sheffield Weds Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0% Win 100% / Draw 100% / Loss 100%
West Brom Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0% Win 0% / Draw 2% / Loss 7%
#16 QPR vs Derby County 04/25/2026 6.8 pp impact
Team Promotion Overall (W/D/L) Relg (W/D/L)
QPR Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0% Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0%
Derby County Win 8% / Draw 3% / Loss 2% Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0%
#17 Coventry City vs Wrexham 04/25/2026 6.6 pp impact
Team Promotion Overall (W/D/L) Relg (W/D/L)
Coventry City Win 100% / Draw 100% / Loss 100% Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0%
Wrexham Win 7% / Draw 3% / Loss 0% Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0%
#18 Derby County vs Sheffield United 05/02/2026 4.2 pp impact
Team Promotion Overall (W/D/L) Relg (W/D/L)
Derby County Win 5% / Draw 1% / Loss 1% Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0%
Sheffield United Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0% Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0%
#19 Swansea City vs Charlton Athletic 05/02/2026 2.8 pp impact
Team Promotion Overall (W/D/L) Relg (W/D/L)
Swansea City Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0% Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0%
Charlton Athletic Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0% Win 0% / Draw 1% / Loss 3%
#20 Portsmouth vs Birmingham City 05/02/2026 2.2 pp impact
Team Promotion Overall (W/D/L) Relg (W/D/L)
Portsmouth Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0% Win 0% / Draw 1% / Loss 2%
Birmingham City Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0% Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0%
#21 Stoke City vs Portsmouth 04/25/2026 0.4 pp impact
Team Promotion Overall (W/D/L) Relg (W/D/L)
Stoke City Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0% Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0%
Portsmouth Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0% Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0%
#22 Norwich City vs Swansea City 04/25/2026 0.2 pp impact
Team Promotion Overall (W/D/L) Relg (W/D/L)
Norwich City Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0% Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0%
Swansea City Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0% Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0%
#23 Watford vs Coventry City 05/02/2026 0.0 pp impact
Team Promotion Overall (W/D/L) Relg (W/D/L)
Watford Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0% Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0%
Coventry City Win 100% / Draw 100% / Loss 100% Win 0% / Draw 0% / Loss 0%